“The facts are there for all to see, not just those of us doctors on the front line in Kenya.
Almost a year since the start of the pandemic, Sub-Saharan Africa, and therefore Kenya too, has had an impact of the Covid-19 virus that is certainly less than that predicted by the World Health Organisation and also beyond anyone’s wildest expectations”.
These words come from doctors in Kenya most closely involved in the Coronavirus emergency, the luminary of infectious and tropical diseases at Nairobi Hospital.
“There are a number of reasons, ‘the most obvious one, which has been confirmed by various studies around the world, is the climate.
Covid-19 loses most of its infectious potential and strength in hot and humid temperatures.
This was also seen in Italy, where last summer it was thought that the curve had flattened out, but with the arrival of autumn and cold temperatures, thanks to the somewhat hasty re-opening of the doors, the cases rose again.
But that is not the only reason: recent studies have also shown that the Coronavirus is transmitted in its fullest expression almost exclusively by air. It has been proven that its presence on surfaces, for example, causes it to lose strength and that it is most harmful in closed environments.
Life at the equator is almost entirely outdoors, it is difficult for people to stay indoors for long.
The vaccines, when they arrive in Africa, will be able to give a further blow to Covid-19, which has not taken hold here as the terrible predictions of the WHO gave ! (“it will be a massacre“, ipse dixit)
“In the meantime, Kenya has experienced a natural herd immunity and this has certainly already immunized a lot of the population, especially those in poor neighbourhoods such as the slums of Nairobi, in villages where people lead a community life to a small extent we have repeated what happened in India, where there is a high population density in poor areas and poorly structured to treat people.
In the first months there was a peak in the number of cases, then slowly the numbers began to dwindle because the citizens, who were largely asymptomatic, became infected and cured themselves. For Kenya, a country with great social differences, the incoming vaccine could really change everything for the better, making health workers safe and increasing the already high number of immune people. At the same time, it would be interesting to carry out antibody tests on Kenyans. They might give surprising results.
Lately, there has also been talk of differences in the DNA of Africans, compared to Westerners, going back to prehistoric times, to the Neanderthal man, progenitor of the “mzungu” who would have already had the receptors for the Coronavirus spike protein, unlike the distant relative of the African people.
“These are unconfirmed studies, even though they are known to the WHO”
to be continued….